Sunday, June 29, 2014

CREEPY PEEPING MACHINE

 
 
Transcript from Singularity Hub
 
Artificial intelligence algorithms can find your face in a crowd and detect what you’re feeling. But it’s harder for them to identify what you’re doing.
That’s because most actions — say, dancing — are actually a series of smaller actions. If an image depicted a person with hands in the air and hip cocked to one side, it would be difficult to know what that person was doing.
Researchers at MIT and U.C. Irvine have developed a new algorithm that can detect actions in video much more effectively than past efforts. It does by applying the lessons of natural language grammar computer scientists have parsed for computers.
“We see an analogy here, which is, if you have a complex action — like making tea or making coffee — that has some subactions, we can basically stitch together these subactions and look at each one as something like verb, adjective, and adverb,” said MIT post-doctoral researcher Hamed Pirsiavash in a news release.
Just as in some languages nouns can go before or after verbs but adjectives have to precede nouns, in a particular action, like making tea, the preparer could put a tea bag into an empty cup before or after putting the water on to boil, but no matter what the kettle will go on the stove before the water is poured.
The grammar model has another advantage: The algorithm can make educated guesses about partially completed actions in a streaming video. The software makes its best guess as to what the action is and subsequently revises it if necessary.
“We’ve known for a very long time that the things that people do are made up of subactivities. The problem is we don’t know what the pieces are,” said David Forsyth, a professor of computer science at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign who was not involved in the project. “There’s a fairly substantial open problem here. I wouldn’t have said that the open problem has completely gone away, but the method itself is very powerful.”
Yet, just as different languages have different grammatical structures, different actions do as well. Based on many examples of the same action fed to it by its human instructors, the machine learning-driven artificial intelligence program will sketch out a grammar for each individual action. The software will recognize only specific actions that it’s been trained to handle. It’s been trained, so far, to identify moves in some common athletic activities. (A good chunk of the work on motion identification algorithms see high-level sports as a significant user base.)
But that doesn’t mean the software won’t be useful. Thanks to the grammar model, the program works faster and with less memory demands than previous attempts to solve the same problem. It also doesn’t require any special clothing like some gesture-recognition programs have. The program can also discard more of its own hypotheses faster, if they don’t adhere to its grammatical rules, easing its power demands. Memory demands remain fixed regardless of the length of the video.
With smaller computing demands, average Joes might be able to use the software. Users would fire up their webcams and task the computer with telling them if they remember to do something — such as take their medication — or if they complete an action — such as a physical therapy exercise or a golf putt — correctly. Down the road, the software could help robots work with humans in relatively unstructured work environments.
With any advances in artificial intelligence, legitimate privacy questions spring to mind. But this algorithm’s move to put the smarts in the hands of a user and develop them for narrowly targeted uses seems like a reasonable way to get the benefits of savvy computers without too much of the creep factor.

 


Friday, May 30, 2014

Live For Today!


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XCj7PlWRFf4&feature=youtu.be

Today I questioned a valued acquaintance on the effect that "DISRUPTION" was going to have for our future.  The response I received was Disruption is just a word and not to worry about it but to worry about me today.  Well, I thought...yes, DISRUPTION is a word but it appears to be a very important word to our future.  If I only worry about today and myself and what I can scrape up while the tide is in then I will have no reason for complaint when that tides goes out and nothing is left.  How can we not pay attention to what "they"...the siren servers are telling us.  (Google, Facebook, MS, Amazon, etc).  And not just the big Siren Servers but those that are close to them trying to feed on. 

DISRUPTION means destruction for our way of life.  When everything is no longer price efficient it will be disrupted.  That means it will be over.  The company (or whatever) will go bankrupt or at least shut the doors.  And when the disruption has completed it's destruction of this way of life, which has been pretty darn good to us, there will be no going back.  We will have arrived at our brave new world and that world for better or worse will be by subscription & contract.  We will have been gleaned of all our information...our who we are in every aspect and situation of our life...and then we will get what we want back for a price.  Do you think Google is going to keep dishing out for free all the information that they have gathered for years or do you think some policy changes will come about.

I'm not good at living in the moment.  I never have been.  I do try hard to be happy and feel gratitude for each day and what I have accomplished or not.  But my eye is always on the future.  That is just who I am.  And I see a lot coming at us right now.  The future is almost here.  And many, many smart people are working around the clock at the ideas to change life in ways that will cut out the middle person, which in turn means the middle class.  Why?  It is faster and more efficient and besides they are receiving huge grants for researching and growing these new industries that will in the future take your job away. 

So...I do think that DISRUPTION is more than just a word.  It is a word that is used everyday to express someones plan for the future...the near future.  So I just can't sit back and live for today. 

Friday, March 28, 2014

WHO WILL OWN YOUR FUTURE?

 

 
"The best way to predict the future is to create it yourself." (Peter Diamandis)  It appears that Facebook and Google are in the creating your future mode.  Facebook just announced on internet.org a Facebook creation, that Facebook would be "involved" in a drone program to get wi-fi to more people.  Zuckerberg wants the whole world to be connected.  But drones bringing you the internet so you can be on Facebook...seems far fetched. 
 
 
Guest's on Bloomberg today had a discussion on why Facebook and Google are buying such an array of odd acquisitions.  Charlie Warzel (buzzfeed) stated that these "technology moguls" are yearning to be visionaries in that they "want to alter the course of human history."  Well, that is wide open.  Alter our history how?  By creating a future that so far they have not let us in on.  It seems to me that "whatever" this future will be that they are creating...Facebook & Google are predicting, creating, and preparing for it through purchasing.  But they can afford it but how is it democratic?  Just because they are taking it to everyone...is this what everyone wants?  Well, how would we know?  

Thursday, March 27, 2014

VIRTUAL IS THE NEW SOCIAL

Zuckerberg (Facebook) has just bought a new company called Oculus VR.  According to Zuck it has the potential to create the most social platform ever, and change the way we work, play and communicate.  (Again!)
 
We are in the midst of rapid change.  Everything we thought we knew will not be.  Alvin Toffler the futurist author said many would not be able to keep up with the rapidly changing future.  He said they would get the disease of FUTURE SHOCK!  But maybe he was wrong...Maybe we will just adapt and buy into all the new goodies.  
 
For Zuckerberg and all the Big Five (Facebook,Google,Microsoft,Amazon, & Yahooit's all about the future. If mobile is the current computing platform, vision and virtual reality could be platforms of the future. Zuckerberg said that buying Oculus was "a long term bet on the future of computing."
 
The creator of the Oculus said that "the more we learned, the more we became convinced that virtual reality would become central to the next great wave of computing." (Dixon)
 
It is being described as a "fully immersed experience." The experience could make all the common experience today go from gaming to chatting face-to-face across the globe. 
 
"Oculus has the potential to be the most social platform ever.  Imagine not just sharing moments with your friends online but entire experiences."  (Zuckerberg)
 
Just remember it will be virtual.  We are going from the social collective body to a more atomonous and imaginary alone world.  Will this be good for us?  Will it be good for society?  Or will it be another distraction that actually separates us more and more from each other as we enter the unreal and impossible.  

Wednesday, March 26, 2014

GOOGLE IT


I love Google.  I use Google everywhere and so will you.  Google is hard to escape.  In someways I think we don't even mind that Google is watching our every move because it seems such a benefit in our busy inter-connected lives.  But regardless of my awe and use, I do see many connections we should be concerned about.  Is Google our friend?  Will Google keep our best interests of freedom and privacy intact?  (I don't think so!)

Google has been on quite the shopping spree lately.  Spending $17B and that's more than Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Facebook, and Yahoo, combined in the last 2 years. (Well, maybe not Facebook as it just bought What's App for $16B & Oculus for $2B)  Nevertheless Google has acquired 114 new businesses.  Consequently, many are trying to figure out what all these acquisitions have in common.  My guess is that it is a mighty algorithm set to "what should we buy to own the future?"  Obviously, a very smart Super Computer that has access to the brains of Google & at Google, not to mention Ray Kurzweil (the futurist and inventor) and all the information of everything, everywhere...with predictive analytics incorporated is capable of designing the future.  Remember Peter's Law: "The best way to predict the future is to create it yourself."

But the shopping list for Google has been very erratic.  At least to us small brain people.  There is a mobile app that allows you to bump phones together and transfer files. Then there is the gesture recognition technology.  Also, lots and lots of robotic companies, most for humanoid robots but also a military and industrial robotic company...yikes!  As of 2014, their purchases have been either for developing Artificial Intelligence or technology that will connect all our "things."  And my favorite is that they have bought into RayBan and Oakley to make Google Glass classier.  At least the future won't be dull, eh?

So no one knows what is behind the many faceted buys and mergers but there are speculations.  Some believe that Google is after the talent that are in these different companies as they come with the purchase and are called "aqui-hires."  Others think "most of what they're developing in any way, shape, or form finds out more about you."  (Rob Enderle)  Some think they just want more places they can gain information on you to aim ads at you were ever you are.   But I am more inclined to think that Google wants to own all information.  Information is knowledge and knowledge is power.  Google is in the process of gathering everything in the way of knowledge from anywhere and everywhere.  That is the future.  And maybe Enderle is right in his statement that Google "will be a superpower...and may well run the world." 








Sunday, March 9, 2014

CLOUD COMPUTING & YOU

Your Life "in the Cloud."
 
We are a "subscription economy."  Recently I have been trying to do some family history and every website I go to is offering me a free trial for my credit card # and a monthly fee.  That made me start thinking about how many things we do for a subscription of a week, a month, or a yearly fee.  And that all adds up fast.  Soon we will be subscribing for our space in the cloud to keep all our documents, as well as our favorite programs for those of us that still use Word, Power Point, Excel, and the rest.  We are becoming a society of renters not owners. 
 
But what is cloud computing?  Well, I am sure it can be very complicated if one wants to be technical but I don't.  Basically, it is a bunch of super-large, super-fast computers that all your information is routed through, stored and accessed.  Cloud computing means the ability to run multiple programs and/or applications on many computers at the same time.
 
The reason they chose the word "cloud" besides that it sounds kind of cool and gives a dreamy image, is that it virtually corresponds somewhat to a cloud.  Here's how: Cloud-computing is based on sharing resources and effectiveness.  For example, the European Users will be allocated the most priority during European business hours while the majority of Americans are sleeping.  Then they can switch priority and application during America's peak business hours when most European's are sleeping.  Thus, it is like a could in the way that it changes through growing and expanding at times, while other times it is shrinking in what it does. 
 
Now this system of massive and many computers connected together called mega-networks is extremely efficient and offer cost advantages to big business as they don't each have to have all the hardware.  "Cloud computing" is also called "pay as you go" as it is sold "as a service" (subscription) for big business and for you. 
 
They (Google, Amazon, IBM, Micro-soft, etc.,) tout how this is good for the environment as it requires less electricity, cooling, space and as such it is a public good. 
 
So what does this mean to you?  It means everything will soon be "in the cloud."  It means more of all you do will operate in this fashion.  For that is what technology is all about.  It is to make everything predictable, efficient and fast.  After all...it is a machine.  The problem is that we are expected to be more machine-like as well.  In fact, we are.  We do more.  We work faster.  We work smarter.  We play with our devices and are always connected through our engagement with others by technological devices.  But there is a cost to all this.  And that cost besides being less personal & having less physical interaction, is our complete dependence on the machine and by extension...on Google, Facebook, MS, & Amazon.  
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


Tuesday, February 25, 2014

40% OF THE S&P 500 GONE IN A DECADE

"THE BEST WAY THE PREDICT THE FUTURE IS TO CREATE IT YOURSELF"
Peter's Law
 
So if you are planning to create the future, it is important to plan it and have excellent financial backing...you know, Venture Capital.  There are a group of people who are building your future at the Singularity University.  They will be holding a two-day conference in June 2014, in New York City.  The theme for this year is exploring exponential finance.  For exponential technologies are transforming every industry and are creating existential threats to most business, investments, client base and even Wall Street.  Exponential technologies are disruptive technologies coming for you at exponential rate. 
 
The people that want to predict and thereby create our future are those involved with the major technology companies.  Within this group is Singularity University and their aim is to prepare HUMANITY for ACCELERATING TECHNOLOGICAL CHANGE.  A very heady and presumptuous endeavor indeed.  This year the grad students and presenters are holding a 2 day conference in NYC, to explore exponential finance for their exponential technologies that will be transforming EVERY INDUSTRY and which could definitely mean threats to your business with the accelerated disruptive technologies. 
 
The point is that in the next 10 years 40% of the S&P (Fortune 500) companies will no longer exist due to exponential growth of disruptive technologies.  Artificial Intelligence, Robotics, Synthetic biology and digital manufacturing (to name a few) will all be transforming how companies are started, how services are delivered and who invests in them.  Some examples of this exponential disruption are how I-Tunes destroyed the record store.  SKPE is working on ending land line for long distance.  Amazon has destroyed the bookstores.  Ebay is on its way to demolishing the local stores and Craig's List has killed the newspaper. 
 
We are fast heading towards a transformation of every aspect of our life.  We are being promised that all of this technological progress will benefit the whole world to meet the needs of everyone on the planet.  That sounds very Utopian.  There are many things to be aware of now.  The pace of acceleration is exponential.  How can we prepare for this?  Many years ago Alvin Toffler (Futurist) predicted that the rapid rate of change would cause a new disease called "FUTURE SHOCK."  Because people would not be able to keep up with how fast everything would be changing.  If we aren't there yet...I predict it is at our doors! 
 
BY THE WAY...Peter Diamandis (yes, that is the Peter of Peter's Laws) is Co-founder and Executive Chairman of Singularity U.
 
AND BY WAY OF INTEREST AND ALONG THIS SAME LINE:  Eric Schmidt (Executive Chairman of Google) was on Charlie Rose tonight, February 25, promoting his book to be available in paperback next week, THE NEW DIGITAL AGE: RESHAPING THE FUTURE OF PEOPLE, NATIONS, AND BUSINESS.    He said (lots) of significance to this post:
 
 "It's all about CREATING THE FUTURE!"